Alright, everyone knows that Duke/UNC is tomorrow. Big Deal. I can't hype it up more than anyone else has, so let's just assume that this game will be amazing and very, very important. Although Carolina is playing great, I still like the Dukies, by three at home. I will even be in Durham tomorrow for the contest (though not at Cameron - dang). But still, now I can die happy.
Instead, the real intrigue lies in the last weekend games that will make an even bigger difference -- the ones that will help solidify/destroy a team's hopes of making the Dance.
3/8 NC State @ Wake -- Wake has a microscopic chance of getting into the tournament. The losses last week probably killed them. But, they are my super "darkhorse" bid to win the ACC tournament and lock up an automatic bid. Chances of making the dance, 1%. Chances of winning the ACC tournament and getting the automatic bid, 2 %.
3/9 VTech @ Clemons -- Tigers are in. That is for sure. However, they will need momentum from this game the conference tournament to get a better seed. The last thing these guys want is and 8-9 matchup. Get to the ACC semi-finals and make a strong showing, they could get as high as a 5. Probably a 6 or 7. Hokies also right on the bubble.
3/9 Maryland @ Virginia -- Maryland is probably in to. Though, not a slam dunk like Clemson. Pound on UVa and don't have a blow up in the ACC tournament. Chances of a blow up, 30%. They are still probably in, blow up or not.
This last weekend, plus the upcoming tournament (which will be previewed, along with my picks for ACC POY, ROY and COY) will decide a lot. Although the ACC is rated highly as a conference, they could get as few as 4 teams in. If things go the right way, they could get 6. I will take the middle ground and say 5.
Cheers, to the most wonderful time of the year.
1 comments:
ACC teams want a top-four seed to get a first-round bye. I don't think any one has ever won out from the bottom- four games in a row - that would be a damn hard task in the ACC.
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