This week on Bubble Watch we'll be tracking a number of teams and letting you know just where we see them in the pecking order. Expect the bubble to fluctuate quite a bit as we head down the final stretch this week and teams hop on and off the bubble as they're eliminated from their conference tournaments (or even win them). It's now a daily scope folks. So no more waiting until Monday/Friday to see how much your A-10 squad has damaged their status this week. If there's any team not mentioned here that you're curious about just drop a comment or e-mail me here.
What Bubble? (Should be in):
St. Mary's, South Alabama, Kent State, Illinois State, Arizona, Arizona State, Texas A&M, Arkansas, UNLV, Kentucky, Ohio State, and West Virginia.
Let There Be Life (More than enough chances to get in, but out for now):
Virginia Tech, Temple, and St. Joe's.
Neutral (Season's over, and need a lot of luck to get in.)
VCU, UMass, and Oregon.
Auto-Bid Or Bust? (Can still play in, but it'll take a conference final appearance to make it happen and even that might not be enough):
Stephen F. Austin stands alone.
Let's Get Eliminated (Season over...):
Southern Illinois, Creighton, Syracuse, Florida, Dayton, Maryland, Houston, Ole Miss, New Mexico and Rhode Island.
Changes:
Florida, UAB, Dayton, Maryland, Houston, Ole Miss, New Mexico and Villanova Eliminated
Ohio State moves back in as 'Nova plummets
UMass hits neutral making way for Texas A&M
Oregon hits neutral, but is very much alive
A Few Thoughts
- First of all.. HOLY CRAP! Is it possible for more costly losses to have occurred on one day? After the last few days were slow, yesterday more than made up for it with numerous teams all but officially watching their bubbles burst. For teams like South Alabama, VCU and Illinois State as the bubble shrinks their odds only improve. To the point that it appears USA is damn near a sure thing.
- The Phantom over the back call loss to USC isn't enough to knock the Sun Devils out of the dance, yet.
- The A-10 is at least a two bid league, if Temple knocks off Charlotte they become that team. And they'll make it three if St. Joe's can topple Xavier for the 2nd time in a week.
- Conference USA is officially a one-bid league barring a huge upset of Memphis.
- A win over Utah should cement UNLV into the dance with New Mexico's loss. So much for that play-in game, eh?
- If you maintain a beef with Arizona it's simple: their overall numbers are spectacular and I fully expect them to get some consideration for their losses when Jerryd Bayless was hurt.
- Shockingly it looks like Ohio State could survive a loss today, but it'd be in their best interest to avoid tempting fate.
Friday, March 14, 2008
STF Bubble Watch: 3/14/08
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5 comments:
So Syracuse loss Wednesday, it made them look terrible...if they had loss yesterday they would probably still be considered in contention by the rest fo the world. I have a strange feeling the committee might shock some people Sunday.
The committee always does, but your fooling yourself if you think 'Cuse will be one of the shocks. If they'd beaten 'Nova and then lost to G'Town the same way 'Nova did then they'd still have a chance. But I just don't see it right now.
Yeah I can safely say that was the craziest bubble day that I can remember...watching UMass blow that game yesterday was almost painful
The thing is with all the losses ahead of UMass and New Mexico that day they might have gotten in with just those wins. Now things are looking bad if St. Joe's and the rest of the bubble boys can advance.
Anyone else think that Va Tech is sneaking in with a single digit loss to UNC?
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